Solar activity cycle 25: the first three years

Author:

Yazev Sergey12,Isaeva Elena2,Hos-Erdene Battulga2

Affiliation:

1. Institute of Solar Terrestrial Physics SB RAS

2. Irkutsk State University

Abstract

We analyze features of current solar activity cycle 25 for the first three years of its development (2020–2022). Compared to cycle 24, the current cycle is shown to exceed the previous one in the number of sunspot groups (1.5 times), the number of flares (1.8 times), and the total flare index (1.5 times). We have found that distributions of sunspot groups during cycles 24 and 25 differ in maximum area. Solar cycle 25, unlike cycle 24, exhibits the most significant increase in the number of sunspot groups with areas up to 30 pmh and in the interval from 570 to 1000 pmh. In contrast to cycle 24, the degree of north-south asymmetry in cycle 25 is significantly reduced. This allows us to predict an increased height of cycle 25, as compared to cycle 24 (by 20–50 %), in accordance with the Gnevyshev—Ol rule, as well as the possible unimodal nature of the cycle.

Publisher

Infra-M Academic Publishing House

Subject

General Medicine

Reference36 articles.

1. Бородкова Н.Л. Воздействие больших и резких изменений динамического давления солнечного ветра на магнитосферу Земли. Анализ нескольких событий. Космические исследования. 2010. Т. 48, № 1. С. 1–15., Belian R.D., Gisler G.R., Cayton T.E., Christensen R.A. High-Z energetic particles at geosynchronous orbit during the great solar proton event series of October 1989. J. Geophys. Res. 1992, vol. 97, p.16897.

2. Веселовский И.С., Ермолаев Ю.И. Ионные составляющие солнечного ветра. Плазменная гелиофизика. Т. 1. M.: Физматлит, 2008. С. 313- 325., Borrini G., Wilcox J.M., Gosling J.T., Bame S.J., Feldman W.C. Solar wind helium and hydrogen structure near the heliospheric current sheet

3. a signal of coronal streamer at 1 AU. J. Geophys. Res. 1981, vol. 86, p. 4565.

4. Еселевич В.Г. Диамагнитные структуры — основа квазистационарного медленного солнечного ветра. Солнечно-земная физика. 2019. Т. 5, № 3. С. 36–49. DOI: 10.12737/szf-53201904., Borodkova N.L. The impact of large and abrupt changes in the dynamic pressure of wind energy on the Earth’s magnetosphere. Analysis of several events. Cosmic Research. 2010, vol. 48, no. 1, pp. 1–15.

5. Еселевич М.В., Еселевич В.Г. Проявление лучевой структуры пояса корональных стримеров в виде резких пиков концентрации плазмы солнечного ветра на орбите Земли. Геомагнетизм и аэрономия. 2006а. Т. 46, № 6. С. 811–824., Chen J., Fritz T.A., Sheldon R.B., Spence H.E., Spjeldvik W.N., Fennell J.F., Livi S., et al. Cusp energetic particle events: Implications for a major acceleration region of the magnetosphere. J. Geophys. Res. 1998, vol. 103, iss. A1, pp. 69–78. DOI: 10.1029/97JA02246.

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3