Optimal type-3 fuzzy control and analysis of complicated financial systems

Author:

Xu Aoqi1,Tian Man-Wen2,Kausar Nasreen3,Mohammadzadeh Ardashir4,Pamucar Dragan5,Ozbilge Ebru6

Affiliation:

1. School of Economics, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou, China

2. National key project laboratory, Jiangxi University of Engineering, Xinyu, China

3. Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Yildiz Technical University, Esenler, Istanbul, Turkey

4. Multidisciplinary Center for Infrastructure Engineering, Shenyang University of Technology, Shenyang, China

5. Faculty of Organizational Sciences, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia

6. American University of the Middle East, Department of Mathematics & Statistics, Egaila, Kuwait

Abstract

The financial systems have complicated dynamics and are perturbed by various uncertainties and disturbances. Chaos theory provides a practical approach to analyzing financial systems. The chaotic systems have unpredictable random characteristics that help to analyze the financial systems better. Recently, type-3 (T3) fuzzy logic systems (FLSs) have been developed for high-uncertain systems. T3-FLSs provide a reliable tool to cope with high-noisy environments. In T3-FLSs, the upper/lower bounds of uncertainties are fuzzy values. This property results in a strong tool to model more levels of uncertainties. Control, modeling, and forecasting accuracy in financial systems are so important. Then, better systems with higher accuracy are required. In this paper, a new T3-FLS based controller is introduced for chaotic financial systems. By solving a Riccati equation, sufficient conditions are concluded for optimality and robustness. T3-FLSs are learned to minimize the error and stabilize the whole system. A new optimal learning rules are extracted for T3-FLSs. Various benchmark chaotic model of financial systems are considered for examining the efficacy of the introduced approach, and the excellent response and superiority of the suggested approach is verified. Also, a comparison with other methods demonstrates the better efficiency of the suggested scheme.

Publisher

IOS Press

Subject

Artificial Intelligence,General Engineering,Statistics and Probability

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