A 27-country test of communicating the scientific consensus on climate change

Author:

Većkalov BojanaORCID,Geiger Sandra J.ORCID,Bartoš FrantišekORCID,White Mathew P.ORCID,Rutjens Bastiaan T.ORCID,van Harreveld Frenk,Stablum FedericaORCID,Akın Berkan,Aldoh AlaaORCID,Bai JinhaoORCID,Berglund FridaORCID,Bratina Zimic AlešaORCID,Broyles MargaretORCID,Catania AndreaORCID,Chen AiruORCID,Chorzępa Magdalena,Farahat EmanORCID,Götz JakobORCID,Hoter-Ishay BatORCID,Jordan GesineORCID,Joustra SiriORCID,Klingebiel JonasORCID,Krajnc ŽivaORCID,Krug Antonia,Andersen Thomas LindORCID,Löloff JohannaORCID,Natarajan Divya,Newman-Oktan SashaORCID,Niehoff ElenaORCID,Paerels Celeste,Papirmeister RachelORCID,Peregrina Steven,Pohl FeliciaORCID,Remsö AmandaORCID,Roh AbigailORCID,Rusyidi BinahayatiORCID,Schmidt JustusORCID,Shavgulidze MariamORCID,Vellinho Nardin ValentinaORCID,Wang Ruixiang,Warner Kelly,Wattier MirandaORCID,Wong Chloe Y.,Younssi MariemORCID,Ruggeri KaiORCID,van der Linden SanderORCID

Abstract

AbstractCommunicating the scientific consensus that human-caused climate change is real increases climate change beliefs, worry and support for public action in the United States. In this preregistered experiment, we tested two scientific consensus messages, a classic message on the reality of human-caused climate change and an updated message additionally emphasizing scientific agreement that climate change is a crisis. Across online convenience samples from 27 countries (n = 10,527), the classic message substantially reduces misperceptions (d = 0.47, 95% CI (0.41, 0.52)) and slightly increases climate change beliefs (from d = 0.06, 95% CI (0.01, 0.11) to d = 0.10, 95% CI (0.04, 0.15)) and worry (d = 0.05, 95% CI (−0.01, 0.10)) but not support for public action directly. The updated message is equally effective but provides no added value. Both messages are more effective for audiences with lower message familiarity and higher misperceptions, including those with lower trust in climate scientists and right-leaning ideologies. Overall, scientific consensus messaging is an effective, non-polarizing tool for changing misperceptions, beliefs and worry across different audiences.

Funder

Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of the Czech Republic: e-INFRA CZ project

Social Psychology Program, Department of Psychology, Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences, University of Amsterdam

National Science Foundation

Columbia University’s Office for Undergraduate Globe Education

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

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