Mathematical Fun with the Compound Binomial Process

Author:

Gerber Hans U.

Abstract

AbstractThe compound binomial model is a discrete time analogue (or approximation) of the compound Poisson model of classical risk theory. In this paper, several results are derived for the probability of ruin as well as for the joint distribution of the surpluses immediately before and at ruin. The starting point of the probabilistic arguments are two series of random variables with a surprisingly simple expectation (Theorem 1) and a more classical result of the theory of random walks (Theorem 2) that is best proved by a martingale argument.

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Subject

Economics and Econometrics,Finance,Accounting

Reference7 articles.

1. Inversed martingales in risk theory;Delbaen;Insurance: Mathematics and Economics,1985

2. Distributions stationnaires d'un système bonus–malus et probabilité de ruine

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