Visualization for epidemiological modelling: challenges, solutions, reflections and recommendations

Author:

Dykes Jason1ORCID,Abdul-Rahman Alfie2ORCID,Archambault Daniel3,Bach Benjamin4ORCID,Borgo Rita2ORCID,Chen Min5ORCID,Enright Jessica6,Fang Hui7,Firat Elif E.8ORCID,Freeman Euan6ORCID,Gönen Tuna5ORCID,Harris Claire9ORCID,Jianu Radu1ORCID,John Nigel W.10ORCID,Khan Saiful5,Lahiff Andrew11ORCID,Laramee Robert S.8,Matthews Louise6ORCID,Mohr Sibylle6ORCID,Nguyen Phong H.5,Rahat Alma A. M.3,Reeve Richard6ORCID,Ritsos Panagiotis D.12ORCID,Roberts Jonathan C.12ORCID,Slingsby Aidan1ORCID,Swallow Ben6ORCID,Torsney-Weir Thomas3ORCID,Turkay Cagatay13ORCID,Turner Robert14,Vidal Franck P.12ORCID,Wang Qiru8ORCID,Wood Jo1ORCID,Xu Kai15ORCID

Affiliation:

1. City, University of London, London, UK

2. King’s College London, London, UK

3. Swansea University, Swansea, UK

4. University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK

5. University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

6. University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK

7. Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK

8. University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK

9. Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland, Edinburgh, UK

10. University of Chester, Chester, UK

11. UKAEA, Abingdon, UK

12. Bangor University, Bangor, UK

13. University of Warwick, Coventry, UK

14. University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK

15. Middlesex University, London, UK

Abstract

We report on an ongoing collaboration between epidemiological modellers and visualization researchers by documenting and reflecting upon knowledge constructs—a series of ideas, approaches and methods taken from existing visualization research and practice—deployed and developed to support modelling of the COVID-19 pandemic. Structured independent commentary on these efforts is synthesized through iterative reflection to develop: evidence of the effectiveness and value of visualization in this context; open problems upon which the research communities may focus; guidance for future activity of this type and recommendations to safeguard the achievements and promote, advance, secure and prepare for future collaborations of this kind. In describing and comparing a series of related projects that were undertaken in unprecedented conditions, our hope is that this unique report, and its rich interactive supplementary materials, will guide the scientific community in embracing visualization in its observation, analysis and modelling of data as well as in disseminating findings. Equally we hope to encourage the visualization community to engage with impactful science in addressing its emerging data challenges. If we are successful, this showcase of activity may stimulate mutually beneficial engagement between communities with complementary expertise to address problems of significance in epidemiology and beyond. See https://ramp-vis.github.io/RAMPVIS-PhilTransA-Supplement/ . This article is part of the theme issue ‘Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these’.

Funder

UK Research and Innovation

Publisher

The Royal Society

Subject

General Physics and Astronomy,General Engineering,General Mathematics

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