Refining epidemiological forecasts with simple scoring rules
Author:
Affiliation:
1. Department of Electrical Engineering and Electronics, University of Liverpool, Brownlow Hill, Liverpool L69 3GJ, UK
Abstract
Funder
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
Publisher
The Royal Society
Subject
General Physics and Astronomy,General Engineering,General Mathematics
Link
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rsta.2021.0305
Reference35 articles.
1. Real-time nowcasting and forecasting of COVID-19 dynamics in England: the first wave
2. Keeling MJ Dyson L Guyver-Fletcher G Holmes A Semple MG Hill EM. 2020 Fitting to the UK COVID-19 outbreak short-term forecasts and estimating the reproductive number. medRxiv.
3. Estimating the time-varying reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 using national and subnational case counts
4. Cramer EY Lopez VK Niemi J George GE Cegan JC Dettwiller ID England WP Farthing MW Hunter RH Lafferty B Linkov I. 2021 Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the US. medRxiv.
5. Funk S et al. 2020 Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK. medRxiv preprint-BMJ Yale.
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