Multilevel models improve precision and speed of IC50 estimates

Abstract

Aim: Experimental variation in dose–response data of drugs tested on cell lines result in inaccuracies in the estimate of a key drug sensitivity characteristic: the IC50. We aim to improve the precision of the half-limiting dose (IC50) estimates by simultaneously employing all dose–responses across all cell lines and drugs, rather than using a single drug–cell line response. Materials & methods: We propose a multilevel mixed effects model that takes advantage of all available dose–response data. Results: The new estimates are highly concordant with the currently used Bayesian model when the data are well behaved. Otherwise, the multilevel model is clearly superior. Conclusion: The multilevel model yields a significant reduction of extreme IC50 estimates, an increase in precision and it runs orders of magnitude faster.