Impacts of climate change on the agricultural zoning of climate risk for cotton cultivation in Brazil-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Impacts of climate change on the agricultural zoning of climate risk for cotton cultivation in Brazil

Published:2013-01 Issue:1 Volume:48 Page:1-8
ISSN:0100-204X
Container-title:Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira
language:
Short-container-title:Pesq. agropec. bras.

Author:

Assad Eduardo Delgado¹,Martins Susian Christian¹,Beltrão Napoleão Esberard de Macêdo²,Pinto Hilton Silveira³

Affiliation:

1. Embrapa Informática Agropecuária, Brazil

2. Embrapa Algodão, Brazil

3. Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Brazil

Abstract

The objective of this work was to evaluate the effect of the temperature increase forecasted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) on agricultural zoning of cotton production in Brazil. The Northeastern region showed the highest decrease in the low-risk area for cotton cultivation due to the projected temperature increase. This area in the Brazilian Northeast may decrease from 83 million ha in 2010 to approximately 71 million ha in 2040, which means 15% reduction in 30 years. Southeastern and Center-Western regions had small decrease in areas suitable for cotton production until 2040, while the Northern region showed no reduction in these areas. Temperature increase will not benefit cotton cultivation in Brazil because dimension of low-risk areas for economic cotton production may decrease.

Publisher

FapUNIFESP (SciELO)

Subject

Agronomy and Crop Science,Animal Science and Zoology

Link

http://www.scielo.br/pdf/pab/v48n1/01.pdf

Reference32 articles.

1. Risques de stress hydrique sur les cultures dans les Cerrados brésiliens du zonage régional à l'analyse des risques à l'échelle des exploitations familiales;AFFHOLDER F.;Cahiers Agricultures,2006

2. Assessment of regional seasonal predictability using the PRECIS regional climate modeling system over South America;ALVES L.M.;Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2010

3. Zoneamento agroecológico e definição da época de semeadura do algodoeiro no Brasil;AMORIM NETO M. da S.;Revista Brasileira de Agrometeorologia,2001

4. Estudo do comportamento pluvial na região de Dourados, MS;ARAI F.K.;Agrarian,2009

5. Avaliação de métodos geoestatísticos na espacialização de índices agrometeorológicos para definir riscos climáticos;ASSAD E.D.;Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira,2003

Cited by 23 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献订阅此论文施引文献，注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献，订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Impact of climate change on grape composition: a review;Ciência e Natura;2024-09-06

2. Suitable areas for temperate fruit trees in a Brazilian hotspot area: Changes driven by new IPCC scenarios;European Journal of Agronomy;2024-04

3. Agroclimatic mapping for olive cultivation in Brazil: pinpointing optimal growing regions;Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture;2024-01-03

4. Long‐term trend analysis in annual, seasonal and monthly rainfall in East Northeast of Brazil and the influence of modes of climate variability;International Journal of Climatology;2023-10-17

5. Climate change on Eucalyptus plantations and adaptive measures for sustainable forestry development across Brazil;Industrial Crops and Products;2022-11