Predictive Value of Serum Cytokeratin 19 Level for the Feasibility of Conserving Ovaries in Endometrial Cancer

Abstract

Objective: To determine the predictive value of cytokeratin 19 (CK19) for evaluating the safety of ovarian preservation in patients with endometrial cancer (EC).Methods: Five hundred and seventeen EC patients hospitalized from November 2010 to June 2016 were reviewed retrospectively. Pre-operative tumor biomarkers including CA125, HE4, CK19, and CA19-9 were obtained. Predictive biomarkers associated with ovarian metastasis were selected using univariate and multivariate Logistic regression. The cut-off values were determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox multivariate regression model was used to perform survival analysis.Results: Among clinical parameters and biomarkers included, age > 65, type II EC, CA125 ≥ 35 u/ml, CK19 > 3.3 ng/ml, and myometrial invasion ≥ 50% depth appeared as significant predictors of the risk of ovarian involvement in univariable logistic analysis. In multivariable analysis, CK19 > 3.3 ng/ml (OR = 11.541, 95%CI: 1.968–67.668, P = 0.007) and Type II EC (OR = 8.336, 95%CI: 1.456–47.722, P = 0.017) were independent risk predictors of ovarian metastasis in pre-menopausal women. In pre-menopausal women with Type I EC (n = 142), CK19 level could satisfactorily predict the risk of ovarian metastasis (AUC = 0.860, 95%CI: 0.792–0.912, P < 0.001), and when the cut-off point was set as 2.45 ng/ml, the negative predictive value and negative likelihood ratio were 99% and 0.19, with the maximum Youden index of 0.598.Conclusions: The present study advocates the necessity of incorporating serum CK19 measurement into the pre-operative evaluation of EC, especially as extension of current standard approach with ovarian preservation counseling.