Prediction and Explanation in a Postmodern World

Author:

Krueger Joachim I.

Abstract

The experimental research paradigm lies at the core of empirical psychology. New data analytical and computational tools continually enrich its methodological arsenal, while the paradigm’s mission remains the testing of theoretical predictions and causal explanations. Predictions regarding experimental results necessarily point to the future. Once the data are collected, the causal inferences refer to a hypothesis now lying in the past. The experimental paradigm is not designed to permit strong inferences about particular incidents that occurred before predictions were made. In contrast, historical research and scholarship in other humanities focus on this backward direction of inference. The disconnect between forward-looking experimental psychology and backward-looking historical (i.e., narrative) psychology is a challenge in the postmodern era, which can be addressed. To illustrate this possibility, I discuss three historical case studies in light of theory and research in contemporary psychology.

Publisher

Frontiers Media SA

Subject

General Psychology

Cited by 3 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Inductive Reasoning Renewed: A Reply to Commentators;Psychological Inquiry;2024-01-02

2. Rationality Now!;The American Journal of Psychology;2022-12-01

3. Gonzalo Guerrero and the Psychology of Identity;Current Research Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities;2021-12-30

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