Prediction of the Height of Fractured Water-Conducting Zone Based on the Improved Cuckoo Search Algorithm–Extreme Learning Machine Model

Abstract

The research aims to improve prediction accuracy for heights of fractured water-conducting zones (FWCZs) and effectively prevent and control roof water disasters, to ensure safe coal mining. For this purpose, the method that integrates the improved cuckoo search (ICS) algorithm and extreme learning machine (ELM) is used to predict heights of FWCZs. Based on an analysis of factors influencing FWCZs, the ICS algorithm is employed to optimize two key parameters of the ELM model, the input weight ѡ and the bias b of hidden elements, thus establishing the ICS–ELM model for predicting the height of the FWCZ. The ICS–ELM model is trained using 42 measured samples, and the trained model is employed to predict the remaining six sample data points. The obtained prediction results show a relative error of only 3.97% and are more consistent with the actual situation. To verify the effectiveness of the model, the prediction results are compared with those of the adaptive particle swarm optimization based least squares support vector machine (APSO–LSSVM) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) based backpropagation (PSO–BP) models. The average relative errors of the two models are 8.21 and 9.75%, respectively, which further proves that the ICS–ELM model improves the accuracy of prediction results for heights of FWCZs. The heights of FWCZs predicted using the model are accurate and reliable, and the accuracy meets the requirements of engineering practice.