Data Preprocessing and Machine Learning Modeling for Rockburst Assessment

Abstract

Rockbursts pose a significant threat to human safety and environmental stability. This paper aims to predict rockburst intensity using a machine learning model. A dataset containing 344 rockburst cases was collected, with eight inducing features as input and four rockburst grades as output. In the preprocessing stage, missing feature values were estimated using a regression imputation strategy. A novel approach, which combines feature selection (FS), t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE), and Gaussian mixture model (GMM) clustering, was proposed to relabel the dataset. The effectiveness of this approach was compared with common statistical methods, and its underlying principles were analyzed. A voting ensemble strategy was used to build the machine learning model, and optimal hyperparameters were determined using the tree-structured Parzen estimator (TPE), whose efficiency and accuracy were compared with three common optimization algorithms. The best combination model was determined using performance evaluation and subsequently applied to practical rockburst prediction. Finally, feature sensitivity was studied using a relative importance analysis. The results indicate that the FS + t-SNE + GMM approach stands out as the optimum data preprocessing method, significantly improving the prediction accuracy and generalization ability of the model. TPE is the most effective optimization algorithm, characterized simultaneously by both high search capability and efficiency. Moreover, the elastic energy index Wet, the maximum circumferential stress of surrounding rock σθ, and the uniaxial compression strength of rock σc were identified as relatively important features in the rockburst prediction model.