Machine Learning for Enhanced Credit Risk Assessment: An Empirical Approach

Author:

Suhadolnik Nicolas12,Ueyama Jo1ORCID,Da Silva Sergio3ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Carlos 13566-590, Brazil

2. Regional Bank for Development of the South Region, Curitiba 80030-900, Brazil

3. Graduate Program in Economics, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianopolis 88049-970, Brazil

Abstract

Financial institutions and regulators increasingly rely on large-scale data analysis, particularly machine learning, for credit decisions. This paper assesses ten machine learning algorithms using a dataset of over 2.5 million observations from a financial institution. We also summarize key statistical and machine learning models in credit scoring and review current research findings. Our results indicate that ensemble models, particularly XGBoost, outperform traditional algorithms such as logistic regression in credit classification. Researchers and experts in the subject of credit risk can use this work as a practical reference as it covers crucial phases of data processing, exploratory data analysis, modeling, and evaluation metrics.

Funder

FAPESP

BRDE

CNPq

Capes

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Finance,Economics and Econometrics,Accounting,Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous)

Reference30 articles.

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3. Machine learning methods that economists should know about;Athey;Annual Review of Economics,2019

4. Predicting option returns with machine learning and big data;Bali;Review of Financial Studies,2023

5. Bazarbash, Majid (2023, November 15). FinTech in Financial Inclusion: Machine Learning Applications in Assessing Credit Risk. Available online: https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WP/2019/WPIEA2019109.ashx.

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