Sentinel-2 Images Based Modeling of Grassland Above-Ground Biomass Using Random Forest Algorithm: A Case Study on the Tibetan Plateau

Abstract

Accurate information on grassland above-ground biomass (AGB) is critical to better understanding the carbon cycle and conserve grassland resources. As a climate-sensitive key ecological function area, it is important to accurately estimate the grassland AGB of the Tibetan Plateau. Sentinel-2 (S2) images have advantages in reducing mixed pixels and the scale effect for remote sensing, while the data volume is correspondingly larger. In order to improve the estimation accuracy while reducing the data volume required for AGB estimation and improving the computational efficiency, this study used the Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) algorithm to find the optimal feature set and compared the performance of the Cubist, Gradient Boosting Regression Tree (GBRT), random forest (RF) and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithms for estimating AGB. In this study, ten S2 bands, ten S2-derived vegetation indexes, 218 pieces of AGB field survey data, four types of meteorological data and three types of topographic data were used as the alternative input features for the AGB estimation model. The impurity and permutation importance were used as the feature importance calculation method input to the RFE, and the Cubist, GBRT, RF and XGBoost algorithms were used to construct the AGB estimation models. The results showed that the RF algorithm based on the monthly average temperature (T), elevation, Normalized Difference Phenology Index (NDPI), Normalized Difference Infrared Index (NDII) and Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) performed best (R2 = 0.8838, RMSE = 35.05 g/m2, LCCC = 2.44, RPPD = 0.91). The above findings suggest that the RF model based on the features related to temperature, altitude, humidity and leaf water content is beneficial to estimate the grassland AGB on the Tibetan Plateau.