Chaos in Opinion-Driven Disease Dynamics

Author:

Götz Thomas1ORCID,Krüger Tyll2,Niedzielewski Karol3,Pestow Radomir1ORCID,Schäfer Moritz1,Schneider Jan4ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Mathematical Institute, University of Koblenz, 56070 Koblenz, Germany

2. Faculty of Information and Communication Technology, Wrocław University of Science and Technology, 50-372 Wrocław, Poland

3. Interdisciplinary Centre for Mathematical and Computational Modelling (ICM), University of Warsaw, 00-927 Warsaw, Poland

4. Faculty of Management, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, 50-371 Wrocław, Poland

Abstract

During the COVID-19 pandemic, it became evident that the effectiveness of applying intervention measures is significantly influenced by societal acceptance, which, in turn, is affected by the processes of opinion formation. This article explores one among the many possibilities of coupled opinion–epidemic systems. The findings reveal either intricate periodic patterns or chaotic dynamics, leading to substantial fluctuations in opinion distribution and, consequently, significant variations in the total number of infections over time. Interestingly, the model exhibits a protective pattern.

Funder

DAAD–NAWA joint project “MultiScale Modelling and Simulation for Epidemics”—MSS4E

NAWA

Publisher

MDPI AG

Reference47 articles.

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