A Novel Dataset Replenishment Strategy Integrating Time-Series InSAR for Refined Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in Karst Regions

Abstract

The accuracy of landslide susceptibility mapping is influenced by the quality of sample data, factor systems, and assessment methods. This study aims to enhance the representativeness and overall quality of the sample dataset through an effective sample expansion strategy, achieving greater precision and reliability in the landslide susceptibility model. An integrated interpretative framework for landslide susceptibility assessment is developed using the XGBoost-SHAP-PDP algorithm to deeply investigate the key contributing factors of landslides in karst areas. Firstly, 17 conditioning factors (e.g., surface deformation rate, land surface temperature, slope, lithology, and NDVI) were introduced based on field surveys, satellite imagery, and literature reviews, to construct a landslide susceptibility conditioning factor system in line with karst geomorphology characteristics. Secondly, a sample expansion strategy combining the frequency ratio (FR) with SBAS-InSAR interpretation results was proposed to optimize the landslide susceptibility assessment dataset. The XGBoost algorithm was then utilized to build the assessment model. Finally, the SHAP and PDP algorithms were applied to interpret the model, examining the primary contributing factors and their influence on landslides in karst areas from both global and single-factor perspectives. Results showed a significant improvement in model accuracy after sample expansion, with AUC values of 0.9579 and 0.9790 for the training and testing sets, respectively. The top three important factors were distance from mining sites, lithology, and NDVI, while land surface temperature, soil erosion modulus, and surface deformation rate also significantly contributed to landslide susceptibility. In summary, this paper provides an in-depth discussion of the effectiveness of LSM in predicting landslide occurrence in complex terrain environments. The reliability and accuracy of the landslide susceptibility assessment model were significantly improved by optimizing the sample dataset within the karst landscape region. In addition, the research results not only provide an essential reference for landslide prevention and control in the karst region of Southwest China and regional central engineering construction planning but also provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of geologic hazards globally, showing a wide range of application prospects and practical significance.