Optimal Day-Ahead Scheduling of a Smart Micro-Grid via a Probabilistic Model for Considering the Uncertainty of Electric Vehicles’ Load

Abstract

This paper presents a new model based on the Monte Carlo simulation method for considering the uncertainty of electric vehicles’ charging station’s load in a day-ahead operation optimization of a smart micro-grid. In the proposed model, some uncertain effective factors on the electric vehicles’ charging station’s load including battery capacity, type of electric vehicles, state of charge, charging power level and response to energy price changes are considered. In addition, other uncertainties of operating parameters such as market price, photovoltaic generation and loads are also considered. Therefore, various stochastic scenarios are generated and involved in a cost minimization problem, which is formulated in the form of mixed-integer linear programming. Finally, the proposed model is simulated on a typical micro-grid with two 60 kW micro-turbines, a 60 kW photovoltaic unit and some loads. The results showed that by applying the proposed model for estimation of charging station load, the total operation cost decreased.