Feature Extraction from Satellite-Derived Hydroclimate Data: Assessing Impacts on Various Neural Networks for Multi-Step Ahead Streamflow Prediction

Abstract

Enhancing the generalization capability of time-series models for streamflow prediction using dimensionality reduction (DR) techniques remains a major challenge in water resources management (WRM). In this study, we investigated eight DR techniques and their effectiveness in mitigating the curse of dimensionality, which hinders the performance of machine learning (ML) algorithms in the field of WRM. Our study delves into the most non-linear unsupervised representative DR techniques, including principal component analysis (PCA), kernel PCA (KPCA), multi-dimensional scaling (MDS), isometric mapping (ISOMAP), locally linear embedding (LLE), t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE), Laplacian eigenmaps (LE), and autoencoder (AE), examining their effectiveness in multi-step ahead (MSA) streamflow prediction. In this study, we conducted a conceptual comparison of these techniques. Subsequently, we focused on their performance in four different case studies in the USA. Moreover, we assessed the quality of the transformed feature spaces in terms of the MSA streamflow prediction improvement. Through our investigation, we gained valuable insights into the performance of different DR techniques within linear/dense/convolutional neural network (CNN)/long short-term memory neural network (LSTM) and autoregressive LSTM (AR-LSTM) architectures. This study contributes to a deeper understanding of suitable feature extraction techniques for enhancing the capabilities of the LSTM model in tackling high-dimensional datasets in the realm of WRM.