How to Select the Optimal Electrochemical Energy Storage Planning Program? A Hybrid MCDM Method

Abstract

Electrochemical energy storage (EES) is a promising kind of energy storage and has developed rapidly in recent years in many countries. EES planning is an important topic that can impact the earnings of EES investors and sustainable industrial development. Current studies only consider the profit or cost of the EES planning program, without considering other economic criteria such as payback period and return on investment (ROI), which are also important for determining an optimal EES planning program. In this paper, a new hybrid multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method integrating the Bayesian best-worst method (BBWM), the entropy weighting approach, and grey cumulative prospect theory is proposed for the optimal EES planning program selection with the consideration of multiple economic criteria. The BBWM and entropy weighting approach are jointly employed for determining the weightings of criteria, and the grey cumulative prospect theory was utilized for the performance rankings of different EES planning programs. Five EES planning programs were selected for empirical analysis, including 9MW PbC battery EES, 2MW LiFePO lithium ion battery EES, 3MW LiFePO lithium ion battery EES, 2MW vanadium redox flow battery EES, and 3MW vanadium redox flow battery EES. The empirical results indicate the 2MW LiFePO lithium ion battery EES is the optimal one. The sensitivity analysis related to different risk preferences of decision-makers also shows the 2MW LiFePO lithium ion battery EES is always the optimal EES planning program. The proposed MCDM method for the optimal EES planning program selection in this paper is effective and robust, and can provide certain references for EES investors and decision-makers.