Predicting Pavement Condition Index Using Fuzzy Logic Technique

Abstract

The fuzzy logic technique is one of the effective approaches for evaluating flexible and rigid pavement distress. The process of classifying pavement distress is usually performed by visual inspection of the pavement surface or using data collected by automated distress measurement equipment. Fuzzy mathematics provides a convenient tool for incorporating subjective analysis, uncertainty in pavement condition index, and maintenance-needs assessment, and can greatly improve consistency and reduce subjectivity in this process. This paper aims to develop a fuzzy logic-based system of pavement condition index and maintenance-needs evaluation for a pavement road network by utilizing pavement distress data from the U.S. and Canada. Considering rutting, fatigue cracking, block cracking, longitudinal cracking, transverse cracking, potholes, patching, bleeding, and raveling as input variables, the variables were fuzzified into fuzzy subsets. The fuzzy subsets of the variables were considered to have triangular membership functions. The relationships between nine pavement distress parameters and PCI were represented by a set of fuzzy rules. The fuzzy rules relating input variables to the output variable of sediment discharge were laid out in the IF–THEN format. The commonly used weighted average method was employed for the defuzzification procedure. The coefficient of determination (R2), root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) were used as the performance indicator metrics to evaluate the performance of analytical models.