Susceptibility Assessment of Landslides in the Loess Plateau Based on Machine Learning Models: A Case Study of Xining City

Abstract

Landslide susceptibility assessment can effectively predict the spatial distribution of potential landslides, which is of great significance in fields such as geological disaster prevention, urban planning, etc. Taking Xining City as an example, based on GF-2 remote sensing image data and combined with field survey data, this study delineated the spatial distribution range of developed landslides. Key factors controlling landslides were then extracted to establish a landslide susceptibility assessment index system. Based on this, the frequency ratio (FR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural network (ANN) models were applied to spatially predict landslide susceptibility with slope units as the basis. The main results are as follows: (1) The overall spatial distribution of landslide susceptibility classes in Xining City is consistent, but the differences between different landslide susceptibility classes are significant. (2) The high-susceptibility area predicted by the FR-RF model is the largest, accounting for 15.48% of the total study area. The prediction results of the FR-ANN and FR-SVM models are more similar, with high-susceptibility areas accounting for 13.96% and 12.97%, respectively. (3) The accuracy verification results show that all three coupled models have good spatial prediction capabilities in the study area. The order of landslide susceptibility prediction capabilities from high to low is FR-RF model > FR-ANN model > FR-SVM model. This indicates that in the study area, the FR-RF model is more suitable for carrying out landslide susceptibility assessment.