Adaptive Kriging-Based Heat Production Performance Optimization for a Two-Horizontal-Well Geothermal System

Abstract

Optimizing heat generation capacity is crucial for geothermal system design and evaluation. Computer simulation is a valuable approach for determining the influence of various parameter combinations on a geothermal system’s ability to produce heat. However, computer simulation evaluations are often computationally demanding since all potential parameter combinations must be examined, posing significant hurdles for heat generation performance evaluation and optimization. This research proposes an adaptive Kriging-based heat generation performance optimization method. Firstly, a two-horizontal-well geothermal system with rectangular multi-parallel fractures is constructed. The heat production performance optimization problem is then established, and the temperature and enthalpy of the outlet water are calculated using computer simulation and Kriging. A parameterized lower confidence bounding sampling scheme (PLCB) is developed to adaptively update Kriging in order to strike a compromise between optimization accuracy and computation burden. The outcomes of the optimization are compared to those of the Kriging-based optimization approach and other common infill options to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed method. The outlet temperature curve obtained with PLCB-AKO-1 rose for a longer time and the heat generation power curve reached a stable output without a downward trend. According to the Friedman and Wilcoxon signed ranks tests, the PLCB-1-AKO technique is statistically superior to alternative strategies.