Environmental Conflict Risk Assessment Based on AHP-FCE: A Case of Jiuhua Waste Incineration Power Plant Project

Abstract

The risk assessment of environmental conflicts has been an integral part of measuring the operability of projects as well as the happiness of the affected population. With the current situation of environmental crises, environmental conflict has an effect on society. In order to maintain the stable development of society, we used the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method and the analytic hierarchy process to study the risk of a population being affected by a project producing environmental pollution. Furthermore, we provided an approach that had the potential to quantify as well as give a risk assessment of the environmental impact. The results classified 0.397, 0.202, and 0.295 as medium, relatively high, and highest risk, respectively. We deemed that the conflict mode between people, government, and enterprise is actually the confrontation between benefit gainers and benefit losers to a great extent. In subtle ways, this conflict mode has several roles. The solution of environmental conflicts lies in how the roles of government and enterprises change and how the interests of the public are considered. Environmental risks can be safely mitigated without violence by managing relationships between people, governments and businesses.