Generating ICS Anomaly Data Reflecting Cyber-Attack Based on Systematic Sampling and Linear Regression

Abstract

Cyber threats to industrial control systems (ICSs) have increased as information and communications technology (ICT) has been incorporated. In response to these cyber threats, we are implementing a range of security equipment and specialized training programs. Anomaly data stemming from cyber-attacks are crucial for effectively testing security equipment and conducting cyber training exercises. However, securing anomaly data in an ICS environment requires a lot of effort. For this reason, we propose a method for generating anomaly data that reflects cyber-attack characteristics. This method uses systematic sampling and linear regression models in an ICS environment to generate anomaly data reflecting cyber-attack characteristics based on benign data. The method uses statistical analysis to identify features indicative of cyber-attack characteristics and alters their values from benign data through systematic sampling. The transformed data are then used to train a linear regression model. The linear regression model can predict features because it has learned the linear relationships between data features. This experiment used ICS_PCAPS data generated based on Modbus, frequently used in ICS. In this experiment, more than 50,000 new anomaly data pieces were generated. As a result of using some of the new anomaly data generated as training data for the existing model, no significant performance degradation occurred. Additionally, comparing some of the new anomaly data with the original benign and attack data using kernel density estimation confirmed that the new anomaly data pattern was changing from benign data to attack data. In this way, anomaly data that partially reflect the pattern of the attack data were created. The proposed method generates anomaly data like cyber-attack data quickly and logically, free from the constraints of cost, time, and original cyber-attack data required in existing research.