Satisfaction with Rooftop Photovoltaic Systems and Feed-in-Tariffs Effects on Energy and Environmental Goals in Jordan

Abstract

Rooftop photovoltaic (RPV) systems are valuable clean-energy-efficient technology that facilitates the transition toward energy sustainability in residential buildings. Hence, the government in Jordan implemented the feed-in-tariffs (FiT) policy to motivate residents’ willingness to install RPV systems. However, the quality of RPV products and services is a key determinant of social acceptance to install RPV systems. Hence, manufacturers and suppliers are working closely with adopters to design and manufacture RPV systems that meet or exceed their expectations. Still, there is a need to develop a quantitative assessment to examine the effects of this FiT policy and the quality of RPV systems on energy security. This study, therefore, develops a system dynamics model to examine the effects of the FiT policy and the quality of RPV products and services on social acceptance to install RPV systems. To achieve this objective, several hypotheses were established related to the main model factors, including the quality of services, complaint reduction, performance ratio, payback period and warranty, and FiT price, with a willingness to install RPV systems. Then, a system dynamics model was constructed. The simulation results reveal the significant factor that impacts energy goals. Moreover, from the end of the year 2030 to the end of 2050, RPV installations, generated power, and CO2 emission reductions are expected to increase from 0.681 GW to 72.83 GW, from 1.07 to 125.74 TWh, and from 0.680 to 79.59 million tons of CO2, respectively. Optimization was performed to maximize the three objectives under the uncertainty of key model variables. The optimal factor values can significantly increase the current energy goals by about 20%. In conclusion, collecting, analyzing, and evaluating adopter input and feedback on RPV systems regarding their design and technology and manufacturing and the post-services of RPV systems significantly influence energy sustainability in residential buildings. In addition, government support through investing in the FiT policy can boost RPV installations in residential buildings.