Mathematical Analysis of Fractal-Fractional Mathematical Model of COVID-19

Author:

Sinan Muhammad1ORCID,Alharthi Nadiyah Hussain2ORCID

Affiliation:

1. School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611731, China

2. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, College of Science Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University, P.O. Box 90950, Riyadh 11623, Saudi Arabia

Abstract

In this work, we modified a dynamical system that addresses COVID-19 infection under a fractal-fractional-order derivative. The model investigates the psychological effects of the disease on humans. We establish global and local stability results for the model under the aforementioned derivative. Additionally, we compute the fundamental reproduction number, which helps predict the transmission of the disease in the community. Using the Carlos Castillo-Chavez method, we derive some adequate results about the bifurcation analysis of the proposed model. We also investigate sensitivity analysis to the given model using the criteria of Chitnis and his co-authors. Furthermore, we formulate the characterization of optimal control strategies by utilizing Pontryagin’s maximum principle. We simulate the model for different fractal-fractional orders subject to various parameter values using Adam Bashforth’s numerical method. All numerical findings are presented graphically.

Funder

Deanship of Scientific Research, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Statistics and Probability,Statistical and Nonlinear Physics,Analysis

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