Precipitation Retrieval from Fengyun-3D Microwave Humidity and Temperature Sounder Data Using Machine Learning

Abstract

As an important component of the Earth system, precipitation plays a vital role in regional and global water cycles. Based on Microwave Humidity and Temperature Sounder (MWHTS) onboard FY-3D satellite, four machine learning models, random forest regression (RFR), support vector machine (SVM), multilayer perceptron (MLP), and gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT), are implemented to retrieve precipitation rate, and verified with Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG). This paper determines the optimal hyperparameters of the machine models and proposes three linear combinations of MWHTS channels (183.31 ± 1.0–183.31 ± 3.0 GHz, 183.31 ± 1.0–183.31 ± 7.0 GHz, and 183.31 ± 3.0–183.31 ± 7.0 GHz), which can better characterize precipitation of different intensities. With the inclusion of three linear combinations, the performances of all four machine learning models are significantly improved. It is concluded that the RFR and GBRT have the best retrieval accuracy. Over ocean, the MSE, MAE, and R2 values of precipitation estimates using RFR are 1.75 mm/h, 0.44 mm/h, and 0.80, respectively, and are 1.80 mm/h, 0.45 mm/h, and 0.78 for GBRT. Simultaneously, this paper analyzes the retrieval results from the perspective of the different rain rates and temporal matching difference between MWHTS and IMERG data. The RFR and GBRT also maintain the best retrieval accuracy under the condition of Gaussian noise, indicating the relatively strong robustness and antinoise performance of ensemble learning models for precipitation retrieval.