Study on Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting Based on the Modified Simplex Approach Sparrow Search Algorithm Mixed with a Bidirectional Long- and Short-Term Memory Network

Abstract

In order to balance power supply and demand, which is crucial for the safe and effective functioning of power systems, short-term power load forecasting is a crucial component of power system planning and operation. This paper aims to address the issue of low prediction accuracy resulting from power load volatility and nonlinearity. It suggests optimizing the number of hidden layer nodes, number of iterations, and learning rate of bi-directional long- and short-term memory networks using the improved sparrow search algorithm, and predicting the actual load data using the load prediction model. Using actual power load data from Wuxi, Jiangsu Province, China, as a dataset, the model makes predictions. The results indicate that the model is effective because the enhanced sparrow algorithm optimizes the bi-directional long- and short-term memory network model for predicting the power load data with a relative error of only 2%, which is higher than the prediction accuracy of the other models proposed in the paper.