A Power System Study on Hydrogen Conversion Pathways for Gas Turbine Power Plants in Vietnam towards Net Zero Target

Abstract

The potential applications of hydrogen in various fields of the energy sector are attracting attention worldwide, including the use of hydrogen for decarbonizing power systems. In Vietnam, hydrogen is considered to gradually replace natural gas in power generation to achieve the country’s net zero target by 2050 but there is a lack of research about this new subject. This study focuses on the computational simulation of the evolution of Vietnam’s power system in the period 2030–2050 according to non-conversion and slow, moderate, and accelerated scenarios of natural gas-to-hydrogen conversion at gas turbine power plants. Based on a total power system generation capacity of 150.5 GW in 2030, the modeling results show that the system capacity range of the scenarios is between 568.7 GW and 584.6 GW. In terms of economic performance, the slow conversion scenario has the lowest system cost of USD 1269.0 billion, and the accelerated scenario represents the highest system cost of USD 1283.2 billion. As for CO2 emissions of the power system, the accelerated scenario has the lowest cumulative CO2 emissions in the studied period while the non-conversion appears highest, 2933 and 3212 million tons, respectively. Based on the study results, the possible pathway recommendation of natural gas-to-hydrogen conversion for Vietnam’s power system is proposed.