Modelling the Effect of Temperature on the Initial Decline during the Lag Phase of Geotrichum candidum

Abstract

The study of lag phase provides essential knowledge for food quality control. With respect to significance of Geotrichum candidum in the food context, the aim of this study was to quantitatively characterize the relationship between temperature (6–25 °C) and initial decline period during G. candidum lag phase. The decrease in G. candidum cells in the lag phase was primary modelled by Weibull’s model to define the first-decimal reduction time (δ). Subsequently, the lag death rate (LDR) values were recalculated from δ and further modelled by using Arrhenius equations, as well as a square root model, and the models’ suitability was proven by selected statistical indices. The square root model with the estimated parameters b = 0.016 °C−1 h−0.5 and Tmin = −0.72 °C showed better indices relating to goodness of fit based on a low root mean sum of square error (RMSE = 0.028 log CFU mL−1), a higher coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.978), and the lowest value of AIC (AIC = −38.65). The present study provides a solution to the possible application of secondary predictive models to the death rate dependence on temperature during the microbial lag phase. Despite limited practical importance, under specific conditions, it is possible to consider its use, for example, in exposure assessment.