Monitoring Agricultural Land and Land Cover Change from 2001–2021 of the Chi River Basin, Thailand Using Multi-Temporal Landsat Data Based on Google Earth Engine

Abstract

In recent years, climate change has greatly affected agricultural activity, sustainability and production, making it difficult to conduct crop management and food security assessment. As a consequence, significant changes in agricultural land and land cover (LC) have occurred, mostly due to the introduction of new agricultural practices, techniques and crops. Earth Observation (EO) data, cloud-computing platforms and powerful machine learning methods can certainly support analysis within the agricultural context. Therefore, accurate and updated agricultural land and LC maps can be useful to derive valuable information for land change monitoring, trend planning, decision-making and sustainable land management. In this context, this study aims at monitoring temporal and spatial changes between 2001 and 2021 (with a four 5-year periods) within the Chi River Basin (NE–Thailand). Specifically, all available Landsat archives and the random forest (RF) classifier were jointly involved within the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform in order to: (i) generate five different crop type maps (focusing on rice, cassava, para rubber and sugarcane classes), and (ii) monitoring the agricultural land transitions over time. For each crop map, a confusion matrix and the correspondent accuracy were computed and tested according to a validation dataset. In particular, an overall accuracy > 88% was found in all of the resulting five crop maps (for the years 2001, 2006, 2011, 2016 and 2021). Subsequently the agricultural land transitions were analyzed, and a total of 18,957 km2 were found as changed (54.5% of the area) within the 20 years (2001–2021). In particular, an increase in cassava and para rubber areas were found at the disadvantage of rice fields, probably due to two different key drivers taken over time: the agricultural policy and staple price. Finally, it is worth highlighting that such results turn out to be decisive in a challenging agricultural environment such as the Thai one. In particular, the high accuracy of the five derived crop type maps can be useful to provide spatial consistency and reliable information to support local sustainable agriculture land management, decisions of policymakers and many stakeholders.