Multilayer Perceptron-Based Real-Time Intradialytic Hypotension Prediction Using Patient Baseline Information and Heart-Rate Variation

Abstract

Intradialytic hypotension (IDH) is a common side effect that occurs during hemodialysis and poses a great risk for dialysis patients. Many studies have been conducted so far to predict IDH, but most of these could not be applied in real-time because they used only underlying patient information or static patient disease information. In this study, we propose a multilayer perceptron (MP)-based IDH prediction model using heart rate (HR) information corresponding to time-series information and static data of patients. This study aimed to validate whether HR differences and HR slope information affect real-time IDH prediction in patients undergoing hemodialysis. Clinical data were collected from 80 hemodialysis patients from 9 September to 17 October 2020, in the artificial kidney room at Yeungnam University Medical Center (YUMC), Daegu, South Korea. The patients typically underwent hemodialysis 12 times during this period, 1 to 2 h per session. Therefore, the HR difference and HR slope information within up to 1 h before IDH occurrence were used as time-series input data for the MP model. Among the MP models using the number and data length of different hidden layers, the model using 60 min of data before the occurrence of two layers and IDH showed maximum performance, with an accuracy of 81.5%, a true positive rate of 73.8%, and positive predictive value of 87.3%. This study aimed to predict IDH in real-time by continuously supplying HR information to MP models along with static data such as age, diabetes, hypertension, and ultrafiltration. The current MP model was implemented using relatively limited parameters; however, its performance may be further improved by adding additional parameters in the future, further enabling real-time IDH prediction to play a supporting role for medical staff.