Sex Ratios and Crime: Evidence from China

Author:

Edlund Lena1,Li Hongbin2,Yi Junjian3,Zhang Junsen4

Affiliation:

1. Columbia University

2. Tsinghua University

3. University of Chicago

4. Chinese University of Hong Kong

Abstract

Abstract Since the introduction of the one-child policy in China in 1979, many more boys than girls have been born, foreshadowing a sizable bride shortage. What do young men unable to find wives do? This paper focuses on criminality, an asocial activity that has seen a marked rise since the mid-1990s. Exploiting province-year level variation, we find an elasticity of crime with respect to the sex ratio of 16- to 25-year-olds of 3.4, suggesting that male sex ratios can account for one-seventh of the rise in crime. We hypothesize that adverse marriage market conditions drive this association.

Publisher

MIT Press - Journals

Subject

Economics and Econometrics,Social Sciences (miscellaneous)

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