AN INTEGRATED APPROACH TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF PLANS FOR TRANSFORMATION OF ELECTRICAL AND HEAT SUPPLY SYSTEMS

Abstract

The system-forming sectors of municipal energy are electricity and heat supply. With small amounts of transformation on small planning horizons, the fragmentary approach to the consideration of individual sectors does not significantly affect the quality of planning. Large-scale transformation on large planning horizons calls for a holistic approach to the energy, energy consuming and other relevant sectors. District heating is considered as an integrating environment to increase the share of variable solar and wind generation, the use of waste material and energy flows. This approach allows you to identify and use synergistic and multiplier effects and avoid the negative consequences of fragmentary solutions. The algorithm of transformation of existing power and heat supply systems is considered in the article. It includes the stages of forming the initial set of projects and alternative scenarios, as well as the stage of determining the recommended scenario using synergetic and cartoon effects. A cause-and-effect analysis scheme has been proposed to identify these effects. Bibl. 50, Fig. 3, Tab. 1.