Tracking accuracy of strategic intelligence forecasts: Findings from a long‐term Canadian study
Author:
Affiliation:
1. Intelligence, Influence and Collaboration Section Defence Research and Development Canada Toronto Ontario Canada
2. Department of National Defence Toronto Ontario Canada
Publisher
Wiley
Link
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ffo2.98
Reference88 articles.
1. Calibration accuracy of a judgmental process that predicts the commercial success of new product ideas
2. Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls
3. Making Intelligence Analysis More Intelligent: Using Numeric Probabilities
4. Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme
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