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Forecasts of “normal”

Published:2021-01 Issue:735 Volume:147 Page:1225-1236
ISSN:0035-9009
Container-title:Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
language:en
Short-container-title:Q J R Meteorol Soc

Author:

Mason Simon J.¹^ORCID,Ferro Christopher A. T.²^ORCID,Landman Willem A.³^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. International Research Institute for Climate and Society The Earth Institute of Columbia University Palisades New York USA

2. Department of Mathematics University of Exeter Exeter UK

3. Department of Geography Geoinformatics and Meteorology, University of Pretoria Pretoria South Africa

Funder

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Atmospheric Science

Link

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/qj.3968

Reference47 articles.

1. The GloSea4 Ensemble Prediction System for Seasonal Forecasting

2. Verification of the First 11 Years of IRI’s Seasonal Climate Forecasts

3. Skill of Real-Time Seasonal ENSO Model Predictions during 2002–11: Is Our Capability Increasing?

4. Short-Term Climate Extremes: Prediction Skill and Predictability

5. Probability Forecasts

Cited by 6 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献订阅此论文施引文献，注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献，订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Strong El Niño Events Lead to Robust Multi‐Year ENSO Predictability;Geophysical Research Letters;2024-06-16

2. Probabilistic skill of statistically downscaled ECMWF S2S forecasts of maximum and minimum temperatures for weeks 1–4 over South Africa;Meteorological Applications;2024-01

3. Probabilistic vs deterministic forecasts – interpreting skill statistics for the benefit of users;Water SA;2023-07-31

4. Probabilistic versus deterministic potential seasonal climate predictability under the perfect-model framework;Climate Dynamics;2023-05-09

5. Taylor expansion of the correlation metric for an individual forecast evaluation and its application to East Asian sub-seasonal forecasts;Climate Dynamics;2023-02-18

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