Research on Multifactor Analysis and Quantitative Evaluation Method of Rockburst Risk in Coal Mines

Abstract

Abstract The prevention of rockbursts is significant to ensure mining safety in deep coal mines. The multifactor analysis and a new quantitative evaluation method for rockbursts in coal mines are proposed in this study. In the aspect of rockburst analysis, a multifactor system of rockburst risk based on the material, stress, and large-scale geological structure is proposed. The factors influencing rockbursts in coal mines are analyzed by numerical simulations. Based on a standard mining model, three comparative models considering the rockburst tendency, high stress, and geological structure are established. The distribution of maximum principal stress and plastic zone during the mining process is compared. The reasons why these three types of factors are liable to trigger rockbursts lie in generating high-stress zones in surrounding rock masses. In the aspect of quantitative evaluation, the monitored microseismic signal is selected as the key indicator, and the daily frequency of microseisms is analyzed. A normal distribution function based on the daily frequency of microseisms is established. The interval of daily frequency of microseisms is set to judge whether the microseismic frequency is abnormal and then determine the rockburst risk of coal mines. Considering the results of multifactor analysis, it is proposed that the monitoring system combining microseisms with stress is the direction to accurately and quantitatively evaluate the rockburst risk in the future. This study makes specific explorations in the quantitative evaluation of rockburst risk in coal mines.