Affiliation:
1. School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Rail Data Research and Application Key Laboratory of Hunan Province, Central South University, Changsha 410000, China
2. Shenzhen Institutes of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen 518000, China
Abstract
Predicting individual mobility of subway passengers in large crowding events is crucial for subway safety management and crowd control. However, most previous models focused on individual mobility prediction under ordinary conditions. Here, we develop a passenger mobility prediction model, which is also applicable to large crowding events. The developed model includes the trip-making prediction part and the trip attribute prediction part. For trip-making prediction, we develop a regularized logistic regression model that employs the proposed individual and cumulative mobility features, the number of potential trips, and the trip generation index. For trip attribute prediction, we develop an
-gram model incorporating a new feature, the trip attraction index, for each cluster of subway passengers. The incorporation of the three new features and the clustering of passengers considerably improves the accuracy of passenger mobility prediction, especially in large crowding events.
Funder
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Subject
Strategy and Management,Computer Science Applications,Mechanical Engineering,Economics and Econometrics,Automotive Engineering
Cited by
2 articles.
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