Research on the Rate of Penetration Prediction Method Based on Stacking Ensemble Learning

Abstract

ROP is an important index to evaluate the efficiency of oil and gas drilling. In order to accurately predict the ROP of an oilfield in Xinjiang working area, a ROP prediction model based on the historical drilling data of this working area was established based on stacking ensemble learning. This model integrates the $K$ -nearest neighbor algorithm and support vector machine algorithm by stacking ensemble strategy and uses genetic algorithm to optimize model parameters, forming a new method of ROP prediction suitable for this oilfield. The prediction results show that the accuracy of ROP prediction by this method is up to 92.5%, and the performance is stable, which can provide reference for the optimization of drilling parameters in this oilfield and has specific guiding significance for improving the efficiency of drilling operations.