Research on PM2.5 Spatiotemporal Forecasting Model Based on LSTM Neural Network

Abstract

Accurate monitoring of air quality can no longer meet people’s needs. People hope to predict air quality in advance and make timely warnings and defenses to minimize the threat to life. This paper proposed a new air quality spatiotemporal prediction model to predict future air quality and is based on a large number of environmental data and a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network. In order to capture the spatial and temporal characteristics of the pollutant concentration data, the data of the five sites with the highest correlation of time-series concentration of PM2.5 (particles with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 mm) at the experimental site were first extracted, and the weather data and other pollutant data at the same time were merged in the next step, extracting advanced spatiotemporal features through long- and short-term memory neural networks. The model presented in this paper was compared with other baseline models on the hourly PM2.5 concentration data set collected at 35 air quality monitoring sites in Beijing from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2017. The experimental results show that the performance of the proposed model is better than other baseline models.