Reliability Assessment Model and Simulation of Journal Bearing of Railway Freight Cars Based on Bayesian Method under Small Sample Sizes

Author:

Yang Juping12,Len Haijun34,Wang Junguo34ORCID,Zhao Yongxiang34

Affiliation:

1. Traction Power State Key Laboratory, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China

2. China Energy Group Railway Equipment Limited Company, Beijing 10036, China

3. School of Mechanical Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China

4. Tech Equip Rail Transit OAM Key Lab, Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610031, China

Abstract

Generally, the box bearing of railway freight cars has no bearing sample failure data at the end of the time-terminated reliability test. However, it is expensive and has high service reliability requirements. Given a small sample size and zero-failure data, the traditional failure probability calculation formula based on a large sample size and the reliability modeling technique cannot easily assess the reliability of rolling bearings accurately. Considering the applicability of the bearing of railway freight cars, this study integrated the prior information of samples and the simulation test information according to Bayes statistical theory, deduced the mathematical model of cumulative failure probability under failure-free data, calculated the distribution parameters using the least square method, and established the reliability estimation model of rolling bearings on the basis of Weibull distribution. The failure-free simulation data of rolling bearings were produced according to the Monte Carlo simulation, and the reliability of the journal bearing of railway freight cars was simulated and assessed by three methods. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed reliable Bayes multilayer estimation method could not only meet the design requirements of the ISO 281 rolling bearing standards on that basis of the failure-free data and small sample size of the time-terminated simulation, but also assess the reliability of the rolling bearing of railway freight cars.

Funder

Sichuan Province Science and Technology Support Program

Publisher

Hindawi Limited

Subject

Strategy and Management,Computer Science Applications,Mechanical Engineering,Economics and Econometrics,Automotive Engineering

Cited by 3 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3