Comprehensive Evaluation Model of Coal Mine Safety under the Combination of Game Theory and TOPSIS

Abstract

At present, the frequent occurrence of coal mine accidents in China is a key concern in the field of safety. Although the coal mine accident rate is decreasing due to the progress of technology and the improvement of management, there is still a lack of comprehensive evaluation of the role of various factors in the coal mine. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to establish a game theory combination weight-TOPSIS comprehensive evaluation model based on the analysis of various factors affecting coal mine safety. The model combines the weights obtained from fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP), entropy weight method (EWM), and back propagation neural network (BP-NN) by using the combination method of game theory and then combines with the TOPSIS method to evaluate 20 indicators in four aspects of a coal mine: personnel, equipment, environment, and management. Taking five mines under Zheng Coal Group as an example, the evaluation results of the game theory combination weight-TOPSIS comprehensive evaluation model are compared with those of the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and the improved composite weight-TOPSIS method. The results show that the safety grade of the five mine samples under Zhengmei Group is ranked as follows: mine 4 > grade II (relatively safe) > mine 2 > mine 5 > grade III (moderately safe) > mine 3 > mine 1 > grade IV (generally safe). The evaluation result of the game theory combination weight-TOPSIS method is basically consistent with the actual safety situation of the coal mine, which reflects the superiority and practicality of the evaluation model. The model has greater differentiation in the process of determining the coal mine safety grade, and the evaluation results are more intuitive and reasonable, which can provide a more effective evaluation tool for the comprehensive evaluation of coal mine safety. Finally, based on the evaluation results, corresponding policy recommendations to improve the status quo of coal mine safety are proposed, aiming to provide decision-making reference for coal mine safety management personnel.