Survival of a threatened salmon is linked to spatial variability in river conditions

Abstract

Extirpation of the Central Valley spring-run Chinook salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) evolutionary significant unit (ESU) from the San Joaquin River is emblematic of salmonid declines across the western seaboard of the United States. Habitat restoration and fish reintroduction efforts are ongoing, but recent telemetry studies have revealed low outmigration survival of juveniles to the ocean. Previous investigations have focused on modeling survival relative to river discharge and geographic regions, but have largely overlooked the effects of habitat variability. To evaluate the link between environmental conditions and survival of juvenile spring-run Chinook salmon, we combined high spatial resolution habitat mapping approaches with acoustic telemetry along a 150 km section of the San Joaquin River during the spring of 2019. While overall outmigration survival was low (5%), our habitat-based classification scheme described variation in survival of acoustic-tagged smolts better than other candidate models based on geography or distance. Two regional mortality sinks were evident along the longitudinal profile of the river, revealing poor survival in areas that shared warmer temperatures but that diverged in chlorophyll a, fluorescent dissolved organic matter (fDOM), turbidity, and dissolved oxygen levels. These findings demonstrate the value of integrating river habitat classification frameworks to improve our understanding of survival dynamics of imperiled fish populations.