Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?

Published:2011-11 Issue:9 Volume:78 Page:1671-1680
ISSN:0040-1625
Container-title:Technological Forecasting and Social Change
language:en
Short-container-title:Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Author:

Bolger Fergus,Stranieri Andrew,Wright George,Yearwood John

Publisher

Elsevier BV

Subject

Management of Technology and Innovation,Applied Psychology,Business and International Management

Reference12 articles.

1. The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis;Rowe;Int. J. Forecasting,1999

2. Delphi: a re-evaluation of research and theory;Rowe;Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change,1991

3. The impact of task characteristics on the performance of structured group forecasting techniques;Rowe;Int. J. Forecasting,1996

4. Group-based judgmental forecasting: an integration of extant knowledge and the development of priorities for a new research agenda;Wright;Int. J. Forecasting,2011

5. Judgment changes during Delphi-like procedures: the role of majority influence, expertise, and confidence;Rowe;Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change,2005

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