Author:
Hardy Colin C.,Schmidt Kirsten M.,Menakis James P.,Sampson R. Neil
Abstract
This paper was presented at the conference ‘Integrating spatial technologies and ecological principles for a new age in fire management’, Boise, Idaho, USA, June 1999
Spatial data products are most often developed to support resource management
decisions. Rarely can the data stand by themselves as spatially-explicit risk
assessments. We discuss the technical aspects of true risk assessments, and
the contrast between risk assessments and the underlying spatial data that an
agency might use to perform one. We then present the development methodology
and results from a comprehensive, national effort at creating resource data
products that may be useful in agency- or geographically-specific risk
assessments.
We have produced a suite of spatial data layers, each a continuous coverage
for the conterminous United States, to support national-level, programmatic
planning efforts for fire and fuel management. This document describes the
development of seven data layers: (1) Potential Natural Vegetation Groups; (2)
Current Cover Types; (3) Historical Natural Fire Regimes; (4) Current
Condition Classes; (5) National Fire Occurrence; (6) Potential Fire
Characteristics; and (7) Population Density Groups. This paper documents the
methodology used to develop the spatial products. We used a Geographic
Information System (GIS) to integrate biophysical and remote sensing products
with disturbance and succession processes. We then assigned attributes
developed from succession diagrams to combinations of biophysical, current
vegetation, and historical fire regime data layers. Regional ecologists,
silviculturists, and fire managers developed the succession diagrams, reviewed
and refined the data layers, and assigned condition classes.
None of these data layers were developed to stand alone as an integrated risk
assessment. Technically-robust risk assessments require quantification not
only of the probability of an event occurring—wildland fire in this
case—but also of the values at risk of damage or loss. The
‘values’ component of a risk assessment is highly dependent on the
resource management policies and objectives of the responsible agency. The
data presented here were developed for integration by individual agencies into
agency-specific plans and risk assessments. For example, planners will use the
Current Condition Class data to allocate resources for fire and fuel
management. These data are posted on the national, USDA Forest Service website
http://fs.fed.us/fire/fuelman.
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