Possible risk factors for atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction

Abstract

Aim. To study possible risk factors (RFs) for the development of paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrHF).Material and methods. The study included 193 patients with chronic HFmrHF and non-valvular paroxysmal/persistent AF. Seventy-six comparable patients, but without AF, were studied as a control group. All patients underwent a detailed physical examination, including electrocardiography (ECG), echocardiography, ambulatory blood pressure monitoring, and Holter ECG monitoring. Levels of inflammatory markers, namely high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, tumor necrosis factor-a and fibrotic marker, transforming growth factor-b1 (TGF-b1) were measured using ELISA. The results obtained were analyzed using the method of binary logistic regression and odds ratio (OR), which allows us to assess the relationship of a specific outcome with possible risk factors and compare study groups according to the detection rate of risk factors.Results. A higher level of diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (OR=1,09, confidence interval (CI)=1,01-1,17, p=0,017) is a possible risk factor for paroxysmal AF in patients with CHF. Possible risk factors for paroxysmal and persistent AF in such patients are an increase in episodes of hypertensive crisis (OR=1,17, CI=1,071,43, p=0,001) and an increase in body mass index (BMI) (OR=1,13, CI=0,931,27, p=0,031). An increase in the OR index of left ventricular diastolic and systolic parameters was associated with significant atrial and ventricular remodeling, which contributes to AF progression from paroxysmal to persistent. Higher levels of inflammatory markers were observed in patients with AF compared with patients with HFmrHF without AF. The increase in the OR level of TGF-b1 (OR=3,84, CI=2,106,23, p=0,005) was significant in patients with persistent AF.Conclusion. Using the OR method, an increase in DBP, the prevalence of hypertensive crisis, BMI, left atrial and ventricular remodeling, an increase in markers of systemic inflammation and fibrosis are possible risk factors for AF in patients with HFmrHF.