Affiliation:
1. National Research University Higher School of Economics
2. National Research University Higher School of Economics; Institute of Economic Forecasting, RAS
Abstract
The article examines the features of the newest stage of the demographic evolution of Russia against the backdrop of other countries at similar stages of the demographic transition. It is shown that until recently long-term demographic trends favored Russia’s economic development, but now the country is entering a long period of unfavorable demographic changes for its economy. The cessation of growth of the Russian population, the reduction in the working-age population and its aging, and the increase in the dependency ratio will have a deterrent effect on economic development and at the same time make it more difficult to solve social problems. In particular, these factors will create greater problems for the pension system for people older than working age. The issue of using the migration resource to mitigate the negative consequences of demographic changes is discussed.
Subject
Economics and Econometrics,Finance
Reference12 articles.
1. Vishnevsky A. G. (1970). Economic consequences of aging of the working-age population. Demograficheskie Tetradi, No. 2—3, pp. 98—111. Kiev: Institute of Economics, The Academy of Sciences of the Ukrainian SSR. (In Russian).
2. Vishnevsky A. G. (2005). Population and production. In: Selected demographic works in two vols. Moscow: Nauka, Vol. 2, pp. 5—87. (In Russian).
3. Vishnevsky A. G. (2015). Mortality in Russia: The second epidemiological revolution that never was. Demographic Review, English selection, pp. 4—33.
4. World Bank (2015). Searching for a new silver age in Russia: The drivers and impacts of population aging. Overview report. Washington, DC.
5. Aiyar S., Ebeke C., Shao X. (2016). The impact of workforce aging on European productivity. IMF Working Paper, No. WP/16/238/.
Cited by
6 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献，注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献，订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献