PATTERNS OF URBAN TRANSPORT FLOWS GENERATION

Abstract

The article is devoted to explaining the issue of exploring the patterns of formation of urban traffic flows in case of the development of urban transport systems projects. Existing methods for predicting traffic flow parameters are developed for all drivers of vehicles, regardless of their individual characteristics, and contain only travel time as a parameter. It is proposed to use the route run, travel time, traffic intensity as the possible criteria, the route runs along the main roads, the condition of the road surface, the number of traffic lights on the route, and fatigue when driving. Based on the results of a questionnaire survey of drivers of individual vehicles, the significance of the criteria for choosing a route of movement for drivers with various types of nervous systems is assessed. The most significant criterion was set up when choosing a route for travel is the “condition of the road surface”. The second most important criterion is “run along the route”. The third criterion was “travel time”. The criterion “traffic intensity” has become even less significant for drivers. The next most important criterion was “the route take place over the main roads”. Even less significant was the criterion “quantity of traffic lights on the route”. The criterion “fatigue during movement” became the least significant. To assess the consistency of expert opinions, a concordance coefficient was used. The values of the concordance coefficient showed that there is a consistency of expert opinions both for the total population of drivers and for their groups, divided on the basis of “temperament”. It was found that when choosing a travel route, drivers are guided by numerous criteria. Moreover, the advantage or disadvantage of one or another criterion depends on its individual characteristics, which are determined by the properties of the central nervous system. Keywords: driver, route, traffic flow, vehicle, questionnaire, nervous system, criterion, significance.