Methods of strategic analysis of the indicators of the confidency period in the real estate market

Abstract

Strategic socio-economic stability of a state is affected by numerous factors including the level of volatility in the real estate market. However, in case of the contingency period, which is the period of cyclical price growth in the market characterized by excessive investments due to long-term speculative expectations of investors, the likelihood of social tension among the population increases. The author of the article suggests strategic factors whose trend dynamics may indicate the occurrence of the characteristics of the emergency period in the housing market. Strategic analysis deals with the assessment of the indicators of the supply and demand factors, parameters of construction companies on the stock market and housing market indexes. The purpose of the study is to identify and classify strategic analysis methods that can be applied to identify the signs of the occurrence of the characteristics of the emergency period in the housing market. The theoretical basis of the research is Professor V.L. Kvint’s theory of strategy and methodology of strategizing. As the result of the research, the article identifies the factors indicating the beginning of the emergency period and groups the parameters essential for the analysis in the issue under consideration.