CAUSALITY RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN STOCK PRICES, EXCHANGE RATE AND HOUSE PRICE INDEX

Author:

YILMAZ Yunus1

Affiliation:

1. DİCLE ÜNİVERSİTESİ

Abstract

In this study, the causal relationship between stock prices, exchange rates and house prices has been empirically analyzed in Turkey. The causality relationship was investigated with 107 monthly data covering the period 2013:M3 – 2022:M1 using BIST100 index, BIST Construction index, USD/TL rate and Housing Price index. The relationship between the selected variables was analyzed by Granger Causality analysis. According to the findings, bidirectional causality was found between BIST100 index and housing price index, between BIST Construction index and housing price index, and between dollar exchange rate and housing price index. No causal relationship was found between the dollar rate and the BIST100 index, between the dollar rate and the Construction index, and between the BIST100 index and the Construction index. It can be stated that policy makers who want to affect housing prices should also consider the dollar rate and stock prices.

Publisher

Inonu University

Reference23 articles.

1. Bahmani-Oskooee, M. & Wu, P. T. (2018). Housing prices and real effective exchange rates in 18 OECD countries: A bootstrap multivariate panel Granger causality, Economic Analysis and Policy, 60, 119-126.

2. Bianconi, M., ve Yoshino, J. A. (2013). House price indexes and cyclical behavior. International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, 6 (1), 26–44. https://doi.org/10.1108/17538271311305995

3. Coşkun, Y., & Ümit, Ö. A. (2016). Türkiye‘de hisse senedi ile döviz, mevduat, altın, konut piyasaları arasındaki eşbütünleşme ilişkilerinin analizi. Business and Economics Research Journal, 7 (1), 47–69.

4. Çetin, A. C. (2021). Türkiye’de konut fiyatlarına etki eden faktörlerin analizi. Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi Uygulamalı Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 5 (1), 1-30.

5. Çetin, G., & Doğaner, A. (2017). İnşaat sektörü güven endeksi ve konut fiyat endeksi arasındaki ilişki: Türkiye için ampirik analiz. İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi, 4 (2), 155–165.

Cited by 4 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3