Abstract
In this study, the causal relationship between stock prices, exchange rates and house prices has been empirically analyzed in Turkey. The causality relationship was investigated with 107 monthly data covering the period 2013:M3 – 2022:M1 using BIST100 index, BIST Construction index, USD/TL rate and Housing Price index. The relationship between the selected variables was analyzed by Granger Causality analysis. According to the findings, bidirectional causality was found between BIST100 index and housing price index, between BIST Construction index and housing price index, and between dollar exchange rate and housing price index. No causal relationship was found between the dollar rate and the BIST100 index, between the dollar rate and the Construction index, and between the BIST100 index and the Construction index. It can be stated that policy makers who want to affect housing prices should also consider the dollar rate and stock prices.
Reference23 articles.
1. Bahmani-Oskooee, M. & Wu, P. T. (2018). Housing prices and real effective exchange rates in 18 OECD countries: A bootstrap multivariate panel Granger causality, Economic Analysis and Policy, 60, 119-126.
2. Bianconi, M., ve Yoshino, J. A. (2013). House price indexes and cyclical behavior. International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, 6 (1), 26–44. https://doi.org/10.1108/17538271311305995
3. Coşkun, Y., & Ümit, Ö. A. (2016). Türkiye‘de hisse senedi ile döviz, mevduat, altın, konut piyasaları arasındaki eşbütünleşme ilişkilerinin analizi. Business and Economics Research Journal, 7 (1), 47–69.
4. Çetin, A. C. (2021). Türkiye’de konut fiyatlarına etki eden faktörlerin analizi. Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi Uygulamalı Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 5 (1), 1-30.
5. Çetin, G., & Doğaner, A. (2017). İnşaat sektörü güven endeksi ve konut fiyat endeksi arasındaki ilişki: Türkiye için ampirik analiz. İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi, 4 (2), 155–165.
Cited by
4 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献